Barrel Proof Baseball
SF · 3B

Matt Chapman

San Francisco Giants

Display
Matt Chapman
Team
SF · San Francisco Giants
Position
3B · Infielder
Bats / Throws
R / R
Status
Active
Player ID
matt-chapman
MLBAM ID
—
Slug
matt-chapman
G AVG OBP SLG OPS HR RBI R SB BB SO
68 .262 .345 .409 .754 6 37 33 0 29 59

Regression Risk

Confidence: HIGH

Actual production is running ahead of expected contact quality.

Power 38 Contact 48 Luck Gap -38
  • Power indicators are limited.
  • Contact risk is present.
  • Actual production is running ahead of expected contact quality.

Luck Gap compares expected production from tracking data against Barrel Proof’s calculated wOBA.

BP wOBA xwOBA Luck Gap Label
0.334 0.296 -38 Actual production running ahead

Power Signal measures whether a hitter’s power is supported by contact quality.

Signal Label Confidence Barrel % Avg EV Max EV xSLG
38 Limited power signal HIGH 6.7 88.3 113.0 0.34

Contact Signal measures whether a hitter’s production is supported by contact skill and plate discipline.

Signal Label Confidence xBA OBP K% BB% BP wOBA
48 Volatile contact profile HIGH 0.222 0.345 0.206 0.101 0.334

Tracking data adds context to the box score by showing how hard and how often a hitter is doing damage.

Avg EV Max EV Hard-Hit % Barrel % Sweet Spot % xBA xSLG xwOBA
88.3 113.0 36.9 6.7 24.6 0.222 0.34 0.296